Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $48.2
- Potential profit
- $28.2
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
xaeroqkAtProtonMe3
0xeef147664532734b38558f77a6fc1c5948a421b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.36
- Realized PnL
- -$2.62
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.12
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $37.05
- Potential profit
- $36.81
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $32.93
- Potential profit
- $32.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.23
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?Yes 12.9% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?Yes 99.1% 9.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?Yes 13.3% 41.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 51.9% 16.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?Yes 84.5% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?No 99.8% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 54% 16.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?Yes 20% 37.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?No 93% 10.75 shares