Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $5.67K
- Potential profit
- $793.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $631.42
Polymarket Trader
SadMax1
0xeeff18351334a1ed2cce2224f57950a2f77f9b38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.77K
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$177.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $361.48
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 5.24x
- User PnL
- -$70.44
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $75.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $84.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.44
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.56
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.44
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$16.52
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.8
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$227.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 30.2% 661.25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 86% 40 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 31.8% 1,290.31 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 32.8% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.3% 5,015.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 97% 515.38 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 40.7% 13.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 79% 2,531.65 shares