No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Polymarket Trader
knnd2
0xef08c28569c668eca6323c050dd4236daa26e9ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.74
- Realized PnL
- $12.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Nets
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Spurs position
Kings vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Michael position
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?Yes 9.8% 33.52 shares
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?Yes 10.4% 50 shares
- Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?Yes 12.7% 20 shares
- Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?Yes 36.8% 5.27 shares
- Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?Yes 37% 5.27 shares
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?Yes 24.2% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 55% 61.81 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 58% 0.19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 58% 38 shares
- Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 7% 1.48 shares
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?Yes 25% 50 shares