Polymarket Trader

Matrix2026

0xef0e68d2c4ea76433c0170ce4078733782c106f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.82
Realized PnL: $2.83K
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.57K
Potential profit: $115.57K
User PnL: -$190.92

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.33K
Potential profit: $30.33K
User PnL: -$279.96

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.84K
Potential profit: $29.84K
User PnL: -$87.97

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.74K
Potential profit: $20.74K
User PnL: -$847.95

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2K
Potential profit: $18.2K
User PnL: -$25.98

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $18K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $5.74K
User PnL: -$161.66

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $118.82
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$326.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.64K
User PnL: -$53.99

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
User PnL: -$208.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$16.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$11.99

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$225.69

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$22.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $726.74

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.57

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.99

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$62.98

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130.86

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$217.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 12% 939.08 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 21.6% 481.19 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.8% 5,056.25 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 19.5% 15.36 shares
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.2% 106,753.44 shares
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.1% 120,939.96 shares
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.1% 53,000 shares
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.1% 17,000 shares
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.1% 105,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 956.63 shares