No position
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
zpdial
0xef172820256270606aed99731f77b8547d766583
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.32
- Realized PnL
- $3.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $157.63
- Potential payout
- $158.42
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.18
- Potential profit
- $111.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.75
- Potential profit
- $92.75
- User PnL
- -$34.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.76
- Potential profit
- $85.76
- User PnL
- -$79.79
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.75
- Potential profit
- $85.75
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.35
- Potential profit
- $82.35
- User PnL
- -$14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.72
- Potential profit
- $71.72
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.59
- Potential profit
- $67.59
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.72
- Potential profit
- $60.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$48.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.56
- Potential profit
- $52.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.33
- Potential profit
- $52.33
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.51
- Potential profit
- $51.51
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.58
- Potential profit
- $47.58
- User PnL
- -$41.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.43
- Potential profit
- $46.43
- User PnL
- -$38.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.19
- Potential profit
- $43.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $28.69
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.14
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.56
No position
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.36
Yes position
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.72
Yes position
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 7-9m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.25
Down position
Solana Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.28
Yes position
Will 'Black Bag' gross more than 7m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.02
No position
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.9
Yes position
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.82
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.82
Yes position
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.36
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.81
Yes position
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.08
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.26
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.54
Down position
XRP Up or Down on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.48
Yes position
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5-8m?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.18
Yes position
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.72
Yes position
Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.86
Yes position
Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 37.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 62.5 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Yes 95% 84.21 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Yes 94.3% 74.21 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 81% 116.27 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)Farid Basharat 85% 58.82 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 91.8% 54.47 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicJannik Sinner 80% 51.25 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 72% 69.44 shares