Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$197.5
Polymarket Trader
skylarSG
0xef19a0d53de0f741c932a2e2b64567d1c117f419
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $415.21
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $897.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$252.75
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $770
- Potential profit
- $766.92
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$97.02
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $617.71
- Potential profit
- $617.71
- User PnL
- -$28.41
Yes position
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $499.48
- Potential profit
- $495.48
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.65
- Potential profit
- $300.65
- User PnL
- -$27.06
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $299.97
- Potential payout
- $299.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $194.98
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $101
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$100.3
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$103.5
No position
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.71
- Potential profit
- $115.71
- User PnL
- -$41.37
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$72.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $92.7
- Potential profit
- $90.24
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $35.45
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.75
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.96
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$172
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 24% 19.98 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 34.3% 113.83 shares
- Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes 94.3% 78.92 shares
- Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?No 41% 8.82 shares
- Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?No 40% 6.89 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 96.6% 750 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?Yes 6.4% 109.22 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 92.7 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No 99% 8 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No 98.8% 190 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?Yes 3.8% 115 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?Yes 3.6% 72 shares