Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Polymarket Trader
realHanlululu
0xef1bc81debb7700b6ad740b088a1aff8382bfe00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.71
- Realized PnL
- $913.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$424.31
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $483.25
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $487.75
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.3
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$17.3
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.1
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.18
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.68
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.95
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.45
No position
Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.02
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.22
No position
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.87
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.16
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.61
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.11
No position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21
No position
Will Nurix Therapeutics (NRIX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 66% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 58% 20 shares
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 63% 10 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 500 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 500 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 49% 18 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 56% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 69% 8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 70% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 69% 262.34 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 69% 400 shares