Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.55
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Polymarket Trader
Valeron0812
0xef2a7668b469a724c5f95ee070e5247e3502a4a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.45
- Realized PnL
- $7.22
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 60% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?No 68.7% 60 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Yes 55% 150 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?No 1.2% 100 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?No 37% 44.87 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 51% 19.14 shares
- Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 44.3% 100 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 58.4% 70 shares
- Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes 57% 60 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 0.8% 100 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?Yes 14% 30 shares