Polymarket Trader

LatoyaMendoza5181

@Orphan161202

0xef37cd265e98f2619dced7ad2095f75e5687f2bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.09K
Realized PnL: $9.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $51.61
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $460.96

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $262.64
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $273.36
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$160.8

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $126.75
Potential payout: $507
Potential profit: $380.25
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$45.63

No position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $143.3
Potential payout: $146
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $58.62

No position

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $64.6
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $71.4
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $96.77
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.84

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $32.9
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $61.1
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$22.11

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $57.4
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$39.36

No position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.4%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $46.6
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $52.15
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.28

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $44.48
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.23

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $28.35
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $13.41
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $4.59
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

San Diego Toreros position

San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.01

Yes position

Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $560.3

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.52

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.06

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.44

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $410.34

Yes position

Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $397.28

Yes position

Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.67

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $386.55

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.05

Yes position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $261.45

Yes position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $255.63

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.2

No position

Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.5

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.43

Yes position

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $226.67

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.03

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.86

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.68

Yes position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.32

No position

Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 70% 26 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 71% 80 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 70% 119 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 70% 221 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 70% 137 shares
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 20% 18 shares
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?

No 38% 9 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 188 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 77% 208 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 77% 304 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 559 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 71% 67 shares