Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $452.54
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- -$12.55
Polymarket Trader
0xef3d...c01a
0xef3d8b7d44ebc896158038f9436abdcaa33ec01a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $492.07
- Realized PnL
- -$112.11
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $39.53
- Potential payout
- $745.84
- Potential profit
- $706.31
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.74
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $69.29
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $48.42
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.41
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.48
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$122.82
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$248.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.2% 745.84 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 27.3% 1,461.69 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 89.8% 113.69 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84% 969.86 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 66.4% 298.64 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.7% 1,259.85 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.2% 1,259.85 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 311.9 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96.2% 243.25 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.2% 2.68 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 29.1% 954.65 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.5% 1,203.89 shares