Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$160.48
Polymarket Trader
Rndntz
0xef43652e86fd9e186778b6940bff286f36ac7b62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.17
- Realized PnL
- $16.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$43.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.49
- Potential profit
- $499.49
- User PnL
- -$66.93
Yes position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.6
- Potential profit
- $421.6
- User PnL
- -$129.98
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$76
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354
- Potential profit
- $354
- User PnL
- -$46.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.72
- Potential profit
- $343.72
- User PnL
- -$294.91
Yes position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.35
- Potential profit
- $339.35
- User PnL
- -$138.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $153
- User PnL
- -$25.09
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $110.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $36.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.38
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.5
Yes position
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.31
Yes position
James Comey indicted before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.61
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.97
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.39
Yes position
Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.35
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.06
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
John Bolton federally charged by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.76
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.63
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.46
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.7
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Yes position
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.74
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.72
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.5% 124 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 12% 75.75 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.5% 859.58 shares
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 28% 88.78 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 44.2% 83.33 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.2% 15.73 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.2% 1,333.88 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 60.2% 170 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.2% 420 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 28% 118.37 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.2% 563.25 shares