Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $102.5
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
NivSch
0xef44da58cb054c88b2c19e1d613a8dcb3cd16f3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.16
- Realized PnL
- $47.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.45
- Potential profit
- $422.45
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.67
- Potential profit
- $336.67
- User PnL
- -$101
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $59.21
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $203.95
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $59.62
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $132.69
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $50.88
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.59
- Potential profit
- $51.59
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $45.38
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.17
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes 26% 192.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 7% 1,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.4% 52.08 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.7% 370.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 60% 65.42 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58.1% 51.59 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 32% 31.25 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes 30% 336.67 shares