Polymarket Trader

paineater

0xef4a2dd5984c90f13d7c7e33bc8505678d85021f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $333.87
Realized PnL: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $235.88
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $9.13

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.7
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $48.12
Potential payout: $184.72
Potential profit: $136.6
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $137.35
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $115.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $99.13
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $18.07
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $80.94
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $49.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $41.36
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $67.39
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $49.6
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $31.05
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $19.63
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $54.44
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $68.03
Potential profit: $55.48
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $39.56
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $18.31
Potential payout: $55.4
Potential profit: $37.09
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $23.38
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $7.38
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.95

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.92

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Yes position

Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.76

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.36

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "IVF" during CNN interview?

Ends Aug 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Brilliant" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "abortion" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $17.92

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 86.96 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

No 53% 52.68 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 8% 125 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 80.65 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

No 19% 52.68 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 59 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 51% 58.82 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 36% 83.33 shares
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 12% 5.01 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 55% 36.36 shares