Polymarket Trader

topdig

0xef4c1291b34043bd529d7d407bb6676c59fb22be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $270
Realized PnL: $1.06K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $96
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$288

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$78

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$328

Yes position

Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$38.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $751.99

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $288

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.68

Raptors position

Hawks vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172

Lakers position

Grizzlies vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.02

Raptors position

Wizards vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.6

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$147

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$169.19

Raptors position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$196

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$264

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$288

Yes position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$289.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 66% 1,022.57 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 21% 1,200 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 17% 2,955 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

No 41% 800 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 84% 1,000 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

Yes 14.1% 127.78 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 48% 1,022.57 shares
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Yes 9% 188.3 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 2,400 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 24% 600 shares
Hawks vs. Raptors

Raptors 57% 400 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

No 6.9% 16.95 shares