Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Polymarket Trader
Octavia188
0xef4f5c6259ff5ee0f5a865fa55fe5aa319b0996d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.01
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 53% 51 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 36 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 38% 7 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 35% 36 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.2% 35 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.2% 35 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 57% 61 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 57% 61 shares