Polymarket Trader

firewalker923

0xef5406737e5bdc47067258b8a057022c48f9c997

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.63K
Realized PnL: $6.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $383.11
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$8.97

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $849.75
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $180.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $15.65

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$402

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $70.88
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $679.13
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $31.38

Yes position

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $77.2
Potential payout: $735.22
Potential profit: $658.02
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$24.08

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $461.01
Potential payout: $602.63
Potential profit: $141.62
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$13.53

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$36

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $497
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $129

Yes position

Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Sep 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $483.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $29.89
Potential payout: $489.93
Potential profit: $460.04
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: -$234.58

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $453.88
Potential payout: $458
Potential profit: $4.12
User PnL: $125.98

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $110.82
Potential payout: $418.2
Potential profit: $307.38
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $23.37

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $284.07
Potential payout: $364.9
Potential profit: $80.83
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $180.82

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $214.28
Potential payout: $357.13
Potential profit: $142.85
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $215.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $134.75
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$50.75

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $282.75
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $266.14
Potential payout: $287.71
Potential profit: $21.58
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $62.98

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $277.29
Potential profit: $273.13
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$40.06

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $213.2
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $150.96
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $53.04
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $42.84

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $84
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $116
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $113
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $146
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $59
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $833.07

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.48

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.57

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.01

Yes position

James Comey indicted before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.82

Falcons position

Commanders vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.99

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.31

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.19

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.15

Over position

Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.5

Tampa Bay Rays position

Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.55

Bengals position

Spread: Steelers (-4.5)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

Colts position

Dolphins vs. Colts

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.6

Rams position

Spread: Rams (-5.5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Ravens position

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Saints position

Giants vs. Saints

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194

No position

Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.75

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.74

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.8

No position

OpenSea airdrop before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.42

Over position

Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 51.5

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Atlanta Braves 51% 100 shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Yes 55% 180 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins

Colorado Rockies 49% 80 shares
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)

Minnesota Lynx 50% 97.03 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Under 52% 11.9 shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 56% 120 shares
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo

Toronto Tempo 73% 70 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Colombia 75% 100 shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

Yes 52% 162.31 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

No 63% 121.67 shares
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 100 shares