Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $31.48
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $42.59
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $11.48
Polymarket Trader
0xEf587e514b74C6cCA536cdb44394C50031FeFffC-1781623829135
0xef587e514b74c6cca536cdb44394c50031fefffc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.1
- Realized PnL
- $62.58
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $65.99
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $30.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $8.21
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $50.62
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $16.02
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?No 2.9% 68 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?Yes 50% 60 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?Yes 95% 7.29 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?No 5.6% 107.33 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 66% 15.15 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?Yes 68.5% 124.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 29% 68.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?Yes 91% 10.52 shares