Polymarket Trader

TruthfulG

0xef5c8e2487d9b4d07565616b337e69f8488a661d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.42K
Realized PnL: $16.05K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $6.13K
Potential payout: $6.23K
Potential profit: $90.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $85.87
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$14.13

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $391.84
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $167.08

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $88.67
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $81.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $107.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $704.23
Potential profit: $704.23
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $101.95
Potential payout: $129.87
Potential profit: $27.92
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $106.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $18.13
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $20.8
Potential payout: $78.5
Potential profit: $57.7
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $14.52

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $44.32
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 7.19x
User PnL: $3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $7.55K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $6.49K

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $169.13

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.48

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $46.64

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Josh Hokit position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.18

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$57.87

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$84.25

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 2,173.91 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 69.4% 720.46 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 33% 889.32 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 31% 163.93 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 75% 554.33 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Spain 5% 300 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Aiemann Zahabi 23% 434.78 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 91.7% 63.43 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 53% 188.68 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 71% 704.23 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 72.4% 138.07 shares