Yes position
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
jonathn
0xef5ebdaac0a8423aa943d1ccc3b5c64550faf44a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $222.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.26
- Potential profit
- $391.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.23
- Potential profit
- $381.23
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.77
- Potential profit
- $344.77
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.5
- Potential profit
- $262.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.89
- Potential profit
- $238.89
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.17
- Potential profit
- $152.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $134
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.23
- Potential profit
- $131.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Over position
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 97.4% 1.03 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 21.9% 6.85 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp 99% 2.02 shares
- Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Border" during the Black History Month reception?No 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?No 11.8% 8.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 38% 2.6 shares