Yes position
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$842.55
Polymarket Trader
size
0xef6d2ec75b883df2fc0308390393f90791b09bd2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $32.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.88
- Potential profit
- $573.88
- User PnL
- -$316.57
No position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.54
- Potential profit
- $370.54
- User PnL
- -$132.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will Trump say "tax queen" during his Wisconsin speech?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" during CNN interview?
Ends Aug 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina speech?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.64
No position
Will Donald Trump say "trans" during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.95
Yes position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.57
No position
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his Arizona rally?
Ends Sep 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $840.99
No position
Will Pelosi say "Donald" or "Trump" 3 or more times at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.66
No position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.6
No position
Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Oct 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025"during Oprah livestream?
Ends Sep 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.42
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.53
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.69
No position
Will Kamala say "Project 2025" during Fox News interview?
Ends Oct 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.72
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?No 55% 30.11 shares
- Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?No 54% 98.16 shares
- Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?No 64% 30.11 shares
- Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes 50.8% 408.7 shares
- Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?No 93.2% 114.45 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes 3% 1,512.53 shares
- Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?No 92.7% 378 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 93.5% 456.56 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes 47% 666.74 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes 53% 719.79 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 88.2% 1,200 shares
- Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes 51.7% 408.7 shares