Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $333.55
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$259.34
Polymarket Trader
Thiqua
0xef6e5da0e675d9d90e7ca985e3d522117841a4fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $555.46
- Realized PnL
- $144.24
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $117.8
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$169
Yes position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.95
- Potential profit
- $323.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $12.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $237.88
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$27.88
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $79.49
- Potential payout
- $237.29
- Potential profit
- $157.8
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.8
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $111.67
- Potential profit
- $107.37
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.43
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 20.2% 237.29 shares
- Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 9% 111.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 840 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 11.4% 175.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.3% 300.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 25.4% 393.96 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 3.1% 323.95 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 48.1% 21.73 shares