No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.96K
- Potential profit
- $79.96K
- User PnL
- -$147.2
Polymarket Trader
sqaaa
0xef7a15936c5701bb0b1a43516d83d06711dbdb70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $779.68
- Realized PnL
- $6.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $199.43
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $500.57
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $38.43
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $240.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $359.1
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $125.7
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $142.45
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $357.55
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $32.45
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $63.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $336.6
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $133.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $166.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.77
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.57
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.81
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.31
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.17
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.61
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.77
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.67
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45
N
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 1.1% 5,395.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 27% 147.06 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 1.2% 3,395.04 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.2% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 57.7% 399.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 80% 65.1 shares
- Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 89% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 82% 89.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.4% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.2% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 249.04 shares