Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $65.8
- Potential payout
- $104.45
- Potential profit
- $38.65
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Polymarket Trader
Hermes09M
0xef7c02a7e1162119b184eff4391b97b931ba0a11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.99
- Realized PnL
- -$2.14
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $72.22
- Potential profit
- $29.97
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Spain position
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $13.93
- Potential payout
- $23.82
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?Yes 55% 72.22 shares
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain 58% 71.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 62% 104.45 shares
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain 59% 95.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 14% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 32% 11.91 shares