No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $553.48
- Potential payout
- $559.35
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $53.48
Polymarket Trader
0xef9BDcf5a73C1b1a66fe7c9891fFBCe38A643a3E-1772195143691
0xef9bdcf5a73c1b1a66fe7c9891ffbce38a643a3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74K
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.21
- Potential profit
- $384.21
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $243.67
- Potential payout
- $253.16
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $43.67
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $240.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $232.59
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $32.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $228.98
- Potential payout
- $233.54
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.98
- Potential profit
- $230.98
- User PnL
- -$189
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $53.29
- Potential payout
- $159.08
- Potential profit
- $105.79
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$46.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.38
- Potential profit
- $156.38
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $116.84
- Potential payout
- $133.53
- Potential profit
- $16.69
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $16.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.82
- Potential profit
- $126.82
- User PnL
- -$12.11
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.63
- Potential profit
- $117.63
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.07
- Potential profit
- $114.07
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.18
- Potential profit
- $90.18
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.32
- Potential profit
- $83.32
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.23
- Potential profit
- $75.23
- User PnL
- -$10.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $71.85
- Potential payout
- $73.81
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.85
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.51
- Potential profit
- $73.51
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.81
- Potential profit
- $62.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.86
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.14
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.94
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.73
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.38
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown 55.1% 18.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown 44% 11.36 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 96% 250 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 22.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 11% 192.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 79.4% 49.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 192.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 216.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.5% 181.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82% 97.56 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 73% 41.1 shares