Polymarket Trader

0xEFAb2e7E85C761bd7e335A396721f1122d2584B2-1775645685974

0xefab2e7e85c761bd7e335a396721f1122d2584b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.47
Realized PnL: -$6.83
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C or below on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.13
Potential profit: $73.13
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $50.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.71
Potential profit: $27.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Amouranth divorced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.73
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Big League" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 1% 92.87 shares
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?

No 37% 2.7 shares
Will Trump say "Big League" in April?

No 44% 2.27 shares
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?

No 21% 4.76 shares
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

No 3.6% 27.71 shares
Amouranth divorced by June 30?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares