Polymarket Trader

gisnyir

0xefb7124ee9851dcba90d1c640b3b7907ad6d575f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.49
Realized PnL: $2.95
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.62
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 6,922.41 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 5.1 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 98.7% 1.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Yes 78% 9.97 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Yes 22.1% 4.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

No 77.9% 11.27 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

No 93.9% 11.28 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

No 99.8% 10.59 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?

No 98.4% 10.57 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?

No 99.5% 12.39 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

No 99.4% 11.18 shares
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Yes 0.1% 11,110 shares