Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $554.01
- Potential payout
- $619
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Polymarket Trader
0xefbe...a2fc
0xefbe90862b1544020594f8c5897b54ed35f8a2fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $554.01
- Realized PnL
- $110.96
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.21
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 77% 572 shares