Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $56K
- Potential profit
- $52.28K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
0xefce...4e4a
0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.34K
- Realized PnL
- $126.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $4.03K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $45.98K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$725
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $921.24
- Potential payout
- $12.12K
- Potential profit
- $11.2K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $218.19
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $52.55
- Potential payout
- $7.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.45K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$330.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- -$133.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.7%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $5.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.14x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.1%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $647.37
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- -$852.63
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $349.85
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $313.84
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $813.83
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $877.66
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$291.37
N
No position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $352.94
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $137.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $475.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $736.33
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $266.45
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $207.24
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $231.48
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $120.37
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $259.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.59
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $220.59
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $44.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $629.89
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $989.36
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$471.2
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $35.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $71.1
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $983.71
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $222.56
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
N
No position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $123.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.89K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33K
Grizzlies position
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14K
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Kings
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53K
Kings position
Kings vs. Clippers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Bucks position
Cavaliers vs. Bucks
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Sabres
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
76ers position
76ers vs. Hornets
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Kypson position
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Iowa Hawkeyes position
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Nava position
Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Nava
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 66.4% 5.77 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 66.4% 1.13 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 66.4% 1.13 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 185.52 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 0.97 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 1 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 1.6 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 0.51 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 165.76 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 0.94 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 0.56 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 9.86 shares