Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Polymarket Trader
0xefd0...0d8a
0xefd069a3e1ccfadd769324dbdc6d334b08450d8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.33
- Realized PnL
- $1.48
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 14 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 9 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 7 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 25 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 18 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 9 shares
- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No 87% 7 shares
- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes 13% 22 shares
- Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.9% 50 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 69.5% 21 shares