Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $41.15
- Potential payout
- $633.01
- Potential profit
- $591.86
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$68.17
Polymarket Trader
0xefd7...036e
0xefd702502dee975df575bacd47ef913b3108036e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $80.48
- Realized PnL
- -$6.12K
- Win rate
- 19%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $34.47
- Potential payout
- $171.5
- Potential profit
- $137.03
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $9.92
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.34
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$25.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$35.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.87
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$753.61
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.92K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 49% 9.92 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3.1% 603.59 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2% 108.97 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 3.1% 201.19 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.4% 100.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 156.38 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.2% 34,635 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 23.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 103.61 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.9% 1,062.22 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 100.05 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes 9% 224.53 shares