OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $433.93
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $48.01
Polymarket Trader
vino1234
0xefddc1d3285d0fe1b9f2aa06e04901f527a08370
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.78K
- Realized PnL
- $13.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $662.41
- Potential payout
- $802.92
- Potential profit
- $140.51
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $93.3
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $652.34
- Potential payout
- $772
- Potential profit
- $119.66
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $92.44
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $485.1
- Potential payout
- $729.48
- Potential profit
- $244.38
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $135.27
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $237.3
- Potential payout
- $688.01
- Potential profit
- $450.72
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $171.45
- Potential payout
- $527.54
- Potential profit
- $356.09
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $21.09
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $388.95
- Potential payout
- $477.29
- Potential profit
- $88.35
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $98.15
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $163.54
- Potential payout
- $389.37
- Potential profit
- $225.83
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $89.18
- Potential payout
- $363.99
- Potential profit
- $274.82
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $11.38
N
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $197.37
- Potential payout
- $254.68
- Potential profit
- $57.3
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $22.49
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $219.52
- Potential payout
- $242.57
- Potential profit
- $23.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $59.74
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $162
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $61.73
- Potential payout
- $199.13
- Potential profit
- $137.4
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $15.82
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $186.77
- Potential payout
- $191.85
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.23
No position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $171.38
- Potential payout
- $179.18
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.6
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $17.07
- Potential payout
- $170.7
- Potential profit
- $153.63
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.15
No position
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $87.14
- Potential payout
- $109.61
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.76
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $96.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $83.05
- Potential payout
- $85.98
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $85.95
- Potential profit
- $73.06
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $76.06
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $54.38
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $47.5
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $30.81
- Potential payout
- $35.22
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54K
No position
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.19
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.93
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $482.69
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $451.68
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.98
No position
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.6
No position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.11
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.01
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.18
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.43
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $293.96
No position
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.95
Yes position
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.44
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.26
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.54
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 20 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 25.51 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 31.3% 141 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 89% 13.06 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 48.6% 132 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 52% 35 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 52% 309 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 78.9% 121.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 87% 83.84 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 65% 25 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 69% 74.82 shares