Polymarket Trader

019b4xzoeb

0xefdf05341701ba716dbdaa32255e0f19a1ec97ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $378.58
Realized PnL: $916.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.28
Potential profit: $245.28
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $77.38
Potential payout: $219.51
Potential profit: $142.13
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $41.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $18.11
Potential payout: $180.23
Potential profit: $162.12
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$12.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $175.68
Potential profit: $165.57
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $151.16
Potential profit: $141.41
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $26.37
Potential payout: $146.07
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $13.37

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $124.12
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$3.99

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $51.06
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $55.32
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.92
Potential profit: $104.92
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.82
Potential profit: $76.82
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $57.2
Potential payout: $64.02
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.2

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.05
Potential profit: $46.05
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $42.07
Potential payout: $43.96
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.68
Potential profit: $41.68
User PnL: -$40.19

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $33.14
Potential payout: $37.44
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$11.37

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $24.24
User PnL: -$12.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.72
Potential profit: $23.72
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $22.1
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.67
Potential profit: $21.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $20.65
Potential payout: $21.62
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.54

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.57
Potential profit: $19.57
User PnL: -$5.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.88

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.26

Yes position

Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

No position

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.67

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.05

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.12

No position

Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.66

No position

Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.72

Yes position

European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

Ends Oct 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.55

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47

Yes position

Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?

Ends Oct 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Beeple's Everyday feature SBF and Diddy today?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

No position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 45.5% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 42.8% 41.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 50% 24.24 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 97.9% 43.47 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 21.74 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mauricio Ruffy 81% 12.35 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 19.61 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 80% 25 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.3% 6 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva 85% 47.06 shares
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

No 97.8% 43.47 shares