Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$145.6
Polymarket Trader
xfm-5-2
0xefe03d9e97b5e13dc58b5f8e6dc3e5d30291ae74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76
- Realized PnL
- -$149.02
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $76
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $124
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.44
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes 28.8% 280 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?Yes 9% 140 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?Yes 8.5% 140 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?No 7.5% 120 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?Yes 58% 30 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?Yes 59% 20 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?Yes 59% 53.27 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 33 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 33 shares