No position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $33.69
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
Cassidyx5
0xefe0b1dd389a4ac255a021386d11ca0a08d62deb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.39
- Realized PnL
- $15.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$21.34
N
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.98
- Potential profit
- $14.98
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.13
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?No 99% 19 shares
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?No 98.1% 29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 99.8% 17 shares
- Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No 99.9% 24 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 34 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 17 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 97% 17 shares
- Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?No 99.9% 7 shares
- Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?No 98% 7 shares