Polymarket Trader

0xefEa2798217690398409F663357F3a1bac8E9f70-1774274953578

0xefea2798217690398409f663357f3a1bac8e9f70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.63
Realized PnL: $126.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.45
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $27.27
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $2.71
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $22.47
User PnL: -$10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $18.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Tommy Paul position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.65

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.7

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$0.1

Alexander Bublik position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $4.48
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Lorenzo Musetti position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Rafael Jodar position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.76

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $4

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?

Down 67% 10 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?

Up 86% 10 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?

Down 44% 20 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 48% 20 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 50% 10 shares
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

No 99% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Down 69% 10 shares
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Yes 12% 10 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 44% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Up 99.9% 10 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 82% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Up 82% 10 shares