No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $185.19
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
ervefffddd
0xeff48478775d3cd2bd24ecb13d6ed5556443c323
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $318.31
- Realized PnL
- -$2.01
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $133.13
- Potential payout
- $133.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C or below on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 1°C or below on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Slime Cry by YoungBoy Never Broke Again be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Luka Dončić be a 2026 NBA All-Star?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on May 30?No 99.9% 185.19 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 400 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 9?No 99.9% 133.13 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 400 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 877 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 877.01 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 604 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.5% 604 shares
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 599 shares
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.5% 599.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 24?No 99.9% 63.06 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.7% 494 shares