Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$334.27
Polymarket Trader
Bonniel
0xeffbfccc53b978eb4f768c721a05019f49e334b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $467.13
- Realized PnL
- $549.49
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $214.29
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$85.71
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $46.46
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$73.54
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $782.06
- Potential profit
- $782.06
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $111.36
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $343.18
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $84.09
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $370.45
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $412.93
- Potential profit
- $412.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.79
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.75
- Potential profit
- $244.75
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.09
No position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.7
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $181.53
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.99
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.17
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$425.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 2,857.14 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.5% 548.64 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 3.4% 584.7 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.6% 1,520.9 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes 12.1% 412.93 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 5.4% 1,860.55 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes 5.1% 782.06 shares
- Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?Yes 10.2% 244.75 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 2,219.52 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 61.5% 1,625.08 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 29% 344.83 shares