Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $8.66
- Potential payout
- $237.25
- Potential profit
- $228.59
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Polymarket Trader
0xF01460d766368e13004F0488CedFD8a7e9a1a7Cd-1772188014237
0xf01460d766368e13004f0488cedfd8a7e9a1a7cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.79
- Realized PnL
- $414.48
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $26.82
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $118.17
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $99.12
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $58.37
- Potential profit
- $46.32
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $50.36
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $32.38
- Potential payout
- $50.2
- Potential profit
- $17.82
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $27.17
- Potential payout
- $48.52
- Potential profit
- $21.35
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $38.84
- Potential payout
- $47.66
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $18.16
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $26.84
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $18.09
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.24
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.54
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.26
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Philadelphia Phillies position
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 97.2% 17 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 12 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 84% 5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 10 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 63% 3.17 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 92% 17 shares
- Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 87% 20 shares
- Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 87% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 97.4% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 39.4% 5 shares