Polymarket Trader

0xf019Ba59648F65bF85ACe387Da55264fCEAe6ba3-1769278794771

0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $208.45
Realized PnL: $618.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.97
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $244.35
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$26.35

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $178
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $117.75
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$5.25

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.38
Potential profit: $109.38
User PnL: -$19.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.93
Potential profit: $99.93
User PnL: -$46.97

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.88
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $42.08
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will Google reach $385 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.69

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.5

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.4

No position

Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.25

No position

Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 16-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 99% 50 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

No 55% 20 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 51% 20 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 22% 20 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.9% 55 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Yes 1.9% 200 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 30% 50 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 29% 50 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 29% 50 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.6% 50 shares