No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0xf01b...224f
0xf01b53983491af4aa666f825eeee46f169ea224f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.47
- Realized PnL
- $85.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $299.15
- Potential profit
- $298.25
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.44
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $77.13
- Potential profit
- $76.63
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.87
- Potential profit
- $43.87
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $26.89
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $17.42
- Potential profit
- $16.47
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.14
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $10.51
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $7.28
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.46
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $3.74
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.61
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 94% 0.05 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 94% 0.21 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 89% 1.12 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.3% 1.02 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 51.5% 1.94 shares