Polymarket Trader

MollyParkets

@neccessito

0xf02105d60083d7d74d7e0f9785d79e06137cdf56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.68K
Realized PnL: $20.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $10.26K
User PnL: -$51.42

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $468
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.53K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $899.47
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.1K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $87.83

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $819
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.18K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.68K
User PnL: -$95.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$155.99

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $101.6
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.4

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$164.83

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$59.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$67.6

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$16.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$487.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$216.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$195.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$189.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$344.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$198.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $851.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $716.58

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.75

Under position

Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.78

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $529.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.84

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $518.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.79

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Over position

Pau FC vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.1

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 67% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 50% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8% 297.9 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5

Under 86.9% 400 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Under 5% 2,000 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Under 11% 682 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 75.6% 299.98 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 75.9% 366 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 24.7% 400 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

No 52% 39 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

No 53.3% 279.59 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 6% 23.2 shares