No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $752.08
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $314.7
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $61.77
Polymarket Trader
Gorgeous-
0xf027918f9a368fb6169d7caf5fa6e899f14b3f04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.58K
- Realized PnL
- $20.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $480.67
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $553.03
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$220.3
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $492.79
- Potential payout
- $895.99
- Potential profit
- $403.19
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$125.01
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $312.59
- Potential payout
- $833.57
- Potential profit
- $520.98
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$193.93
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $286.75
- Potential payout
- $390.14
- Potential profit
- $103.39
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$39.83
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $116.48
- Potential payout
- $143.8
- Potential profit
- $27.32
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $29.5
- Potential payout
- $101.71
- Potential profit
- $72.21
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$29.49
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $45.73
- Potential payout
- $62.22
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Current value
- $8.32
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $9.51
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $875.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $841.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.65
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.19
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $645.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.25
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $600.79
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.85
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.63
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.52
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 70% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 110 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 74.7% 106.31 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 70.7% 10 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 42% 204.24 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 80.5% 30.2 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 80.6% 52.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?No 88% 70.77 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69% 70.85 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No 89% 22.99 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No 90% 10 shares