NIKE44

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.88
Potential profit: $499.88
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440.01
Potential profit: $440.01
User PnL: -$17.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $14.64
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $89.53
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.15
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $73.95
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $31.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$16.8

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $62.02
Potential payout: $67.05
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $64.51
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $24.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $58.95
Potential payout: $60.06
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $41.69
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.88
Potential profit: $54.88
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $50.84
Potential profit: $50.53
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $24.47
Potential payout: $50.45
Potential profit: $25.98
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $42.5
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $15.59
Potential payout: $40.5
Potential profit: $24.91
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$13.3

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET