Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.01
- Potential profit
- $269.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xf031526e7C1AEB959C943369A45F5cd61Ad02D12-1777106675828
0xf031526e7c1aeb959c943369a45f5cd61ad02d12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.07
- Realized PnL
- $37.77
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $233.43
- Potential profit
- $224.91
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$6.48
No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $112.71
- Potential profit
- $110.34
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$22.63
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $39.18
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will Trump post "Elon" or "Musk" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.35
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.48
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 8 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 96.6% 47.87 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes 1.9% 269.01 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?No 2.3% 217.39 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 49% 40.82 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 83.6% 47.87 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 86.3% 114.01 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 20% 250 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 54% 92.59 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 9% 538.46 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 13% 538.46 shares
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 23.2% 43.16 shares