No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $485.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $261.61
Polymarket Trader
TACOTRADER
0xf04cfd6e22383e31b0ef2a07d26b24c2cf4169f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.45K
- Realized PnL
- $4.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $301.99
Yes position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $66.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $83.98
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$308
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $861.69
- Potential profit
- $861.69
- User PnL
- -$382
No position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $657.41
- Potential profit
- $657.41
- User PnL
- -$356
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $548.7
- Potential profit
- $548.7
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$400
Utah State position
Washington State vs. Utah State
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.23
- Potential profit
- $194.23
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $191.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$48.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $154.29
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$93
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.06
- Potential profit
- $133.06
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.53
- Potential profit
- $123.53
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.82
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.38
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $192.29
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.67
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.52
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.67
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.4
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.12
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Commanders
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.33
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.12
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.57
Eagles position
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.68
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.52
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 26% 192.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 0.1% 303.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 89% 1,365.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 33% 303.03 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 44.3% 1,050.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 97% 1,001.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 70% 1,001.43 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 64.1% 1,093.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 454.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 58% 216.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 46.3% 216.09 shares