Polymarket Trader

Penator

0xf04d93143de2de7c39fd9454d34b5ca68b0b9f47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.69
Realized PnL: $103.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $25.59
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $33.24
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Nico Williams: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.4
Potential profit: $48.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $20.37
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $15.16
Potential payout: $15.24
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

No position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Morocco position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

DR Congo position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Lakers position

Pelicans vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Under 84.9% 11.78 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 93% 43.01 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 66% 7.58 shares
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 65.6% 15.24 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 82% 24.39 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 29.85 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 99.9% 31.12 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 96.4% 31.12 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 72% 27.78 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?

11.7% 8.29 shares
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares