Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
aysenyousen
0xf053c947f7b4595a0b884398541b1dd431c2abc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.77
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or below on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.3% 24 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.3% 5 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 140 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 145 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.9% 31 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.9% 31 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 4.2% 104 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 17% 44.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 19% 47 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 4.7% 95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 55% 28.35 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 76.4% 59 shares