No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $373.57
- Potential payout
- $458.43
- Potential profit
- $84.86
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15.81
Polymarket Trader
Dmalka
0xf0575f0dda3b9405e45a93419dc8bcd3ad586ec2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $348.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $365.81
- Potential payout
- $408.73
- Potential profit
- $42.92
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $30.57
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $259.94
- Potential payout
- $284.09
- Potential profit
- $24.15
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $210.54
- Potential payout
- $247.69
- Potential profit
- $37.15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.88
- Potential profit
- $201.88
- User PnL
- -$150.4
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $50.42
- Potential profit
- $40.01
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$30.43
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.77
- Potential profit
- $45.77
- User PnL
- -$14.17
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.39
- Potential profit
- $44.39
- User PnL
- -$34.4
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $35.62
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $33.88
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.78
- Potential profit
- $26.78
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.95
- Potential profit
- $24.95
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $19.02
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.43
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.08
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- User PnL
- -$9.39
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.92
- Potential profit
- $16.92
- User PnL
- -$11.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.22
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.28
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 23.8 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 77% 9.33 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 75% 9.33 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 7.04 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 35.71 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 39.68 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.9% 50.42 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 32% 34.87 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 82% 6.1 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 85% 7.06 shares
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes 80% 37.5 shares