Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $192.54
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$349.42
Polymarket Trader
0xF06B7104971b133fFf158efDA461fcb938164c6D-1767585358645
0xf06b7104971b133fff158efda461fcb938164c6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.54
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.07
- Potential profit
- $198.07
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.46
- Potential profit
- $163.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.56
- Potential profit
- $15.56
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $13.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 56% 381.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 97% 11.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 87% 11.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp 33% 16.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp 31% 16.13 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 9% 857.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 32% 15.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp 7% 71.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp 19.7% 126.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown 83.3% 173.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown 61.1% 163.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares