Polymarket Trader

chaosj89

0xf08522edfa721400b9cf7710b93e91c6386202af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $167.14
Realized PnL: $247.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Four Items" or "Fourth Item" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $49.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will "Level" be said 15+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $34.93
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the announcers say "Paddy" 20+ times during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the announcers say "Choke" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 99.8% 30 shares
Will "Level" be said 15+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 99.9% 30 shares
Will "Level" be said 15+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 99.7% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Choke" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will "Dominating" or "Domination" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 99.8% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will the announcers say "Triangle" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "Paddy" 20+ times during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "Holloway" 20+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?

No 99.8% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "McGregor" 20+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will the announcers say "Ireland" or "Irish" during McGregor vs Holloway?

No 99.9% 30 shares